Truth About Lines

Words from a great sports handicapper: Most of you already know this but for those of you that don't it is very important. When Vegas puts out a spread it is designed to attract wagers on both sides. In other words, the lines are not neccessarily based on who Vegas thinks will win the game but based on the number they think will attract $100,000 on one side and $100,000 on the other side thus making $10,000 on the juice no matter who wins. You don't have to be a professional sports handicapper in the sports handicapping business to know that Vegas does not make their money gambling. They make their money by other people gambling. Their lines are heavily based on public perception and that alone is why their are professionals like myself that make a lot of money betting sports. Once you understand statistics, you will start to see which teams are over-rated by the betting public and which teams are under-rated. Once you are armed with this information, you can really exploit the sportsbooks. Many sportsbooks will try to adjust the lines whenever they get too much money on one side so you need to take the line as soon as you see a discrepency. NBA, College Basketball and MLB Baseball lines all come out the night before a game so at around 11:00 EST is the best time to begin looking for you plays for the next day. Most of the public waits until the day of the game to make a wager so being first an easy way to spot great spreads before they move.

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